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| Appendix l |
| HOUSING REQUIREMENT AND
PROVISION: EXPLANATION OF TABLE 1 |
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Introduction |
| 1. |
Table 1, in Chapter 2, demonstrates how
the housing land allocations made in this Plan, when coupled with
housebuilding from other sources, meet the housing provision figures
contained in the Cambridgeshire Structure Plan 1995. |
| 2. |
Policy SP4/1 of the Structure Plan says
that provision for new housing development over the period 1991 to
2006 will be approximately 9,800 dwellings in Peterborough District
and, separately, 5,200 dwellings in Peterborough Southern Township
(now known as Hampton). |
| 3. |
The 15 year period of 1991 to 2006 is
mid-year to mid-year. Table 1 sets out the position at 31st March
2004, i.e. twelve and three quarters years into the Structure Plan
period. |
| 4. |
Figures in the Table represent numbers
of dwellings. |
| 5. |
The Table is divided into columns and rows.
The majority of the rows relate to Peterborough other than Hampton.
The penultimate row sets out the housing supply position for Hampton.
The final row presents the total picture for Peterborough including
Hampton. |
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Peterborough (other than
Hampton) |
| 6. |
Analysis of the dwelling supply position
for Peterborough is divided into a section for dwellings on estates
and a section for dwellings not on estates. Table 15.1 of the Structure
Plan indicates that some 1,800 dwellings are expected to be provided
from the non-estate category between 1991 and 2006, with some 7,940
dwellings to be provided from the estate category (rounded up to 8,000),
thereby arriving at the total provision figure of approximately 9,800
dwellings. |
| 7. |
This split between estate and non-estate
provision is reflected in the Table, with the first three rows dealing
with non-estate development and the next three rows dealing with estate
development. Each section is itself split to show the relationship
between provision in the urban area and provision in the rural area.
The urban area is all that area (excluding Hampton) within the Urban
Area boundary as defined on the Proposals Map. The rural area is the
remainder outside the Urban Area boundary. |
| 8. |
Estate development is defined as a housing
development that would qualify for inclusion as a proposed allocation
in this Plan - that is, development of 9 or more dwellings on a site
of 0.3 hectares or greater. Non-estate development is any housing
development that does not fulfil these two criteria - such development
typically comprises infill or group development, changes of use and
the conversion of a single dwellinghouse into two or more separate
units of accommodation. |
| 9. |
Column A of the Table sets out the Structure
Plan requirement. |
| 10. |
Column B reveals that 1,415 non-estate
dwellings had been completed between mid-1991 and 31st March 2004.
There is no evidence to suggest that the rate at which non-estate
dwellings will be completed over the remainder of the Plan period
will be any different to the rate experienced in the first twelve
and three quarters years. The non-estate completion rate has therefore
been extrapolated to give a non-estate allowance in Column C over
the remaining two and a quarter years of 250 dwellings. An analysis
of current outstanding planning permissions at 31st March 2004 shows
this allowance to be reasonable. Columns D to F are not relevant to
the non-estate element of housing provision. Column G shows the total
of all housing provision anticipated in this Plan. For non-estate
dwellings this is simply the sum of Columns B and C - 1,665 dwellings.
This figure is similar to, but slightly lower, than that anticipated
in Table 15.1 of the Structure Plan. |
| 11. |
A number of factors contribute to the
dwelling calculation in the estate category. Once again, the Structure
Plan requirement appears in Column A. A total of 4,578 estate dwellings
appear in column B as having been completed between mid-1991 and 31st
March 2004 (comprising 3,919 urban dwellings and 659 rural dwellings).
Column C is not applicable to estate dwellings. |
| 12. |
Column D is a 'windfall allowance' for
estate development. 'Windfall' dwellings are as defined in para 35
of PPG3 'Housing'. The City Council has examined the rate at which
such windfalls have been completed over the past twelve and three
quarters years and has applied the resulting average annual rate to
the remaining two and a quarter years of the Plan period. There is
no evidence to suggest that windfall development will take place at
either a higher or lower rate than in the past. Column D therefore
provides for an allowance of 28 dwellings from this source, based
on past trends. |
| 13. |
Column E sets out the number of dwellings
which remain to be completed on estates which are not allocated in
this Plan. For the most part, they comprise dwellings which remained
to be completed on 31st March 2004 on an estate where there were fewer
than nine outstanding. (If a development was under construction at
31st March 2004 with nine or more dwellings still be completed it
has been included as an allocated site in this Plan.) The total number
of dwellings from this source is 209. |
| 14. |
Column F details the dwellings which can
be expected to come forward from sites allocated for development in
this Plan (policies H3, H4, H9, H10 and H11). Where a site allocated
in this Plan already has planning permission, the number of dwellings
expected is the number for which permission has been granted. Where
a site was already under construction at 31st March 2004, the number
expected is the number remaining to be completed. Where a site does
not have permission, an assumption has been made about the number
of dwellings likely to come forward taking into account site size,
location, characteristics and the advice of PPG3 on residential densities.
Different density assumptions have been made for different sites.
Where a site is of such a size that development is likely to continue
beyond mid-2006, the figure included in Column F is the number of
dwellings which it is calculated could be completed by that date.
Full details of the indicative number of dwellings which have been
assumed from each site, for the purposes of formulating Column F,
appear in Appendix 1a. It is anticipated that the allocated sites
could be capable of delivering some 2,226 dwellings (comprising 1,829
in the urban area and 397 in the rural area) in the period to mid
2006. |
| 15. |
Column G shows the sum of the figures
in columns B to F. This reveals that the total number of dwellings
on estates which could be provided over the Plan period is 7,041.
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| 16. |
The row beneath the non-estate and estate
sections sets out the totals for housing land supply in Peterborough
(other than Hampton). Column G reveals an overall potential supply
of 8,706 dwellings. |
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Hampton |
| 17. |
Column A of the Hampton row contains the
Structure Plan figure of approximately 5,200 dwellings. Column B reveals
that 1,430 dwellings had been completed between mid-1991 and 31st
March 2004. Policy H4 confirms the land at Hampton for residential
development in order to meet the Structure Plan requirement and therefore
the figure for the remaining dwelings - 3,770 - appears in column
F. Planning permission has been granted in outline for this number
of dwellings and there is no evidence to suggest this figure cannot
be achieved. The total dwelling figure for Hampton in column G, consequently,
is 5,200. |
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Overall Totals for Peterborough |
| 18. |
The final row of the table comprises a
summation of the Peterborough (other than Hampton) and the Hampton
dwelling figures. |
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